Ruto-Raila MoU Under Scrutiny as ODM Prepares for Nairobi Convention

The Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) is gearing up for a critical National Delegates Convention (NDC) in October 2025. 

The convention will address the party's leadership structure, ideological direction, and strategic planning ahead of the 2027 General Election. A key point of contention is the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) established in March 2025 between ODM and President William Ruto’s United Democratic Alliance (UDA). The MoU, presented as a cooperative effort to tackle national challenges, has instigated significant division within ODM.

While some senior party members view the agreement as a practical step toward national unity, others consider it a compromise of the party's opposition principles. Secretary-General Edwin Sifuna has been particularly outspoken, asserting that ODM remains independent and dismissing suggestions of a coalition or power-sharing arrangement. 

"There is no government called broad-based," Sifuna said, indicating his belief that ODM officials serving in government are essentially working for Ruto.

The internal discord is amplified by conflicting stances among high-ranking officials. National Chairperson Gladys Wanga, Director of Elections Junet Mohamed, and Siaya Senator Oburu Oginga have expressed support for the Ruto administration, including accompanying the president on official engagements. Conversely, Sifuna, Co-Deputy Party Leader Godfrey Osotsi, and several legislators remain strongly opposed, cautioning that the party is at risk of abandoning its core values.

The ODM has experienced turbulent internal conflicts, exemplified by the 2014 Kasarani episode, when disruptions by rival factions curtailed elections. The upcoming NDC, intended to elect new national officials and reassess party policies, could face a similar atmosphere, particularly given the stakes associated with the 2027 presidential election.

The central question is whether ODM will nominate its own candidate or endorse Ruto's re-election. Oburu Oginga's recent remarks, however, suggests a conditional openness to supporting the current administration. "Even if they are staggering, let them stagger until elections," he commented.

Alongside leadership debates, the NDC will reflect on ODM's history. The ODM@20 celebrations will culminate in a national event this October, which is intended to galvanise support and reaffirm the party’s commitment to democratic ideals.